Riskonet

Infrastructure resilience must headline SONA as water, waste treatment and power failures hit urban economy

As government prepares to deliver next week’s State of the Nation Address, mounting failures in electricity, waste treatment and water infrastructure are emerging as one of the most immediate and underpriced risks to South Africa’s economy and urban centres.

Extended water outages in Midrand, now entering a second week, the flooding of the Zeekoevlei from untreated waste water in storm water drains, and the recent explosions at a major electricity substations have once again highlighted a critical reality. Businesses cannot operate indefinitely on temporary water tankers and backup generators. When core utilities fail for weeks rather than hours, economic activity, investor confidence, and basic service delivery begin to unravel.

According to Volker von Widdern, Risk Principal at Riskonet Africa, the greatest danger is no longer the failure itself, but institutional inertia.

“South Africa is drifting into a pattern where infrastructure stress is treated as a temporary disruption rather than a structural risk,” says von Widdern. “Overloaded electricity and water systems are now a permanent feature of urban life, yet responses remain reactive. Proactive maintenance and capacity planning are needed, supported by sustained budgets and effective project management. Businesses and municipalities cannot plan or function in an environment where essential services are unstable for extended periods.”

Riskonet Africa warns that rapid urbanisation is increasingly outpacing the capacity of key utilities. As populations concentrate around economic hubs, demand for electricity, water, and sanitation rises sharply, while investment in maintenance and expansion has lagged behind.

“There is an inverse relationship between the rate of urbanisation and the capacity of critical utilities,” says von Widdern. “Demand is rising faster than supply, and without proper measurement of system capacity against actual load, failures become inevitable. Maintenance failures exacerbate the problem.”

He argues that one of the most practical starting points is rigorous demand and capacity mapping across key facilities such as substations, reservoirs, treatment plants, and distribution networks.

“You cannot manage what you do not measure,” he said. “The fix is not abstract or ideological. It is site by site, system by system. Each failure point must be identified, prioritised, and addressed before it cascades into wider disruption.”

Riskonet Africa also cautions that budget structures at municipal and state-owned entity level remain misaligned with the scale of the challenge. Too much spending continues to be absorbed by overhead costs, while preventative maintenance and infrastructure development are deferred.

“Budgets need to be reallocated decisively from administrative overheads and salary inflation toward infrastructure maintenance and development,” said von Widdern. “Every year of delay raises the eventual cost of repair and increases the risk of catastrophic failure.”

As policymakers prepare to outline government priorities in the State of the Nation Address, Riskonet Africa believes infrastructure resilience must move from long term aspiration to immediate execution.

“The economic cost of inaction is now visible on the ground,” said von Widdern. “Waterless suburbs, damaged substations, and disrupted businesses are not warning signs. They are evidence that the risk has already materialised.”